Hedge Your Farming RisksBETA
Get paid when conditions are met. Automatic payouts based on publicly verified data.
By What Date Will Zoe Kent (@farmwithzoe) Finish Planting Her Corn?
Fixed payouts · updates when contracts are sold
What is AcreHedge?
AcreHedge lets farmers and agricultural stakeholders protect their revenue by taking positions on real-world events that affect their livelihood. Think of it as weather insurance that actually pays out—powered by prediction markets.
$1 per contract
No minimums, no paperwork, no insurance brokers. Buy as many contracts as you need to match your risk exposure.
Up to 10x+ payouts
When you're right, the entire pool pays the winners. The more lopsided the market, the higher the payout for contrarians.
Paid in 1 day
Once the outcome is determined, payouts are calculated and deposited to your account within 24 hours. No claims process.
How Prediction Markets Work
It's simpler than you think. Here's how to protect your farm revenue in 3 steps.
Pick an event
Browse markets covering weather events, government policy changes, commodity prices, and more. Find one that affects your operation.
Take a position
Think the event will happen? Buy YES. Think it won't? Buy NO. Each contract is $1. Buy enough to offset your potential losses.
Get paid if you're right
Winners split the entire pool. If drought hits and you bought YES on drought, your payout offsets your crop losses. Simple.
Why Farmers Are Using Prediction Markets
Traditional crop insurance is slow and expensive
Paperwork, adjusters, waiting months for payouts. Federal crop insurance has deductibles that mean you absorb the first 25-50% of losses yourself.
Prediction markets pay you directly and fast
No brokers, no adjusters, no fine print. If the event happens and you were on the right side, you get paid within 24 hours. Period.
Hedge specific risks your insurance doesn't cover
Policy changes, localized weather events, price shifts—these are real risks that traditional insurance doesn't address. AcreHedge markets let you protect against exactly the scenarios that keep you up at night.
Common Questions
Is this gambling?
No. Prediction markets are risk management tools. Farmers use them the same way they use futures contracts—to hedge against events that could hurt their revenue. You're protecting your downside, not speculating for entertainment.
How is the payout calculated?
AcreHedge uses a parimutuel model. All contract purchases go into a shared pool. When the event resolves, the entire pool is split among the winners proportional to how many winning contracts they hold. The fewer people on the winning side, the higher the payout per contract.
What happens if I lose?
You lose the amount you spent on contracts—nothing more. There are no margin calls, no hidden fees, and no additional obligations. Your maximum loss is always the cost of your contracts.
How do I withdraw my winnings?
Winnings are deposited to your AcreHedge account balance after the market settles. You can request a withdrawal at any time, and funds are sent via ACH transfer to your bank account.
Ready to protect your revenue?
Start with as little as $1. No paperwork, no brokers, no waiting.
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